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Reliance Industries Share Price Target – Rs 1,300 or Rs 1,767? Here's What Brokerages Are Sayin

pooja bisht
22 Jul 2025 05:35 AM

Reliance Industries (RIL) — India’s oil-to-telecom giant — saw its shares fall 3.5% on Monday to ₹1,423 on the BSE after the company posted its Q1 FY26 results. The results, while reflecting profitability, didn’t completely impress the market, leading to a cautious outlook from some brokerages.

Despite the dip, Mukesh Ambani’s bold vision to double earnings by 2029 has left room for optimism. But now the big question is: Where is the RIL stock headed — ₹1,300 or ₹1,767?


🔍 Mixed Reactions from Brokerages

The post-results sentiment among analysts and brokerage firms remains divided:

Bullish Views:

  • Nuvama remains the most optimistic with a target of ₹1,767, the highest among all brokerages.

  • Jefferies, BNP Paribas, Goldman Sachs, Axis Capital, and JM Financial have set targets above ₹1,700.

  • Morgan Stanley maintained its overweight rating with a target price of ₹1,617, calling out New Energy as the most promising segment.

  • Overall, 25 out of 27 brokerages have a Buy/Add recommendation.

  • The median target price stands at ₹1,640, suggesting a 15% potential upside from the current price.

Bearish View:

  • Ambit Capital is the most cautious with a sell call and a target of ₹1,300.

  • Kotak Institutional Equities downgraded RIL from Buy to Add, reducing its target from ₹1,650 to ₹1,520, citing richer valuations and limited near-term upside.


📊 Why Did RIL Shares Fall?

  • The Q1 results were described by analysts as a “mixed bag”.

  • Jio showed positive momentum, but the retail segment lagged behind expectations.

  • The energy segment faced short-term issues due to costlier fuel oil and lower availability of cheaper crude, but analysts expect a rebound in the next quarter.


🔮 What's Next for RIL?

Investors will now keep a close eye on the upcoming Annual General Meeting (AGM) expected in the next two months. Key focus areas include:

  • Growth in FMCG

  • Expansion of New Energy business

  • Development in the media segment

  • Updates on Jio IPO

  • Subscriber growth and monetisation plans

BofA Securities remains hopeful, noting continued steady to improving momentum across RIL’s key businesses beyond Q1.


📈 Should You Buy, Hold, or Sell?

If you're a long-term investor, Reliance’s diversified portfolio across energy, telecom, retail, and new ventures in green energy and tech still makes it a solid bet.

However, if you're a short-term trader, you might want to wait and watch for the AGM announcements or a clearer trend post-Q2 earnings.


Conclusion:
While Reliance Industries' Q1 earnings didn’t fully meet market expectations, most brokerages remain bullish on the stock’s future. With a median target of ₹1,640 and strong potential in emerging business areas, RIL still has growth ahead — but keep an eye on the road ahead.